As expected, the US/Israeli forces launched attacks against Iran, targeting Iranian Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and the country’s military commanders on the first day of the war.
The current conclusions drawn from the wave of attacks launched by the US/Israel and Iran’s responses can be summarized as follows;
1. Iran was targeted while at the negotiating table. The US/Israel continues its habit of attacking during negotiations.
2. The atmosphere of weakness seen in the early hours of the “Twelve-Day War” is absent in Iran. Despite the loss of Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, it maintains its psychological advantage.
3. Expectations of regime change in Iran following the assassination of Ali Khamenei are unfounded. It is likely that the Iranian government will consolidate and continue on its path.
4. Cities under Israeli occupation, including Tel Aviv, were targeted by Iran. Israel continues its policy of blackout and concealing the number of dead and wounded.
5. American bases in the region, particularly in the Gulf, were targeted. The likelihood of the war spreading is increasing.
6. Gulf countries are aligned with the US/Israel (condemnation messages from the Organization of Islamic Cooperation etc.).
7. Following the assassination of Khamenei, it is likely that groups close to Iran, particularly in Lebanon, Yemen, and Iraq, will target American-Israeli centers. The involvement of these groups in the war will broaden the depth and scope of the conflict.
8. The US/Israel are systematically targeting civilians in their attacks (schools, gyms, etc.). These attacks are aimed at intimidating the Iranian people. They also demonstrate that the US/Israel have lost hope in the short term regarding the forces they support within Iran.
9. Closing the Strait of Hormuz will have a chain reaction of negative effects on the global economy.
10. The extent to which Russia and China, targeted via Iran, will become involved in the war is still unclear.
11. The boundaries of the war in terms of location and time are not yet defined…
