No permanent agreement can be reached between West and East…
War continues in Eurasia.
The conflict between Russia and the West in Ukraine is intensifying.
The purported understanding reached between Trump and Putin at their August 2025 meeting in Alaska turned out to be nothing but a scrap of paper.
There is talk of the possibility of Russia’s military operation advancing towards Odessa.
Meanwhile, the US-European bloc continues its provocations aimed at expanding the war toward Belarus and other Eastern European countries.
By autumn, relations between the West and Russia could break down completely.
The situation in West Asia is not much different from that in Eurasia.
Before the ink had even dried on the so-called agreement reached between the US and Iran in Geneva, Washington resumed its attacks on Iran.
US strikes are now concentrated around the Strait of Hormuz. Iran’s civilian infrastructure is also being systematically targeted.
Iran, in turn, is responding with heavy strikes against US bases across the region, particularly in the Gulf.
Israel, having suffered severe blows in its first two wars with Iran, has for the time being chosen not to enter the conflict openly. This is, of course, the result of decisions taken jointly with the US. (There is a strong possibility that reports and analyses suggesting deep divisions between the US and Israel are being deliberately leaked by the Trump administration itself in order to manipulate the countries of the region more easily…)
The Netanyahu government, however, is by no means standing idle. Taking advantage of the war and of the silence of regional states (or that they deliver only empty speeches) it is seeking to expand its occupation in Palestine, Lebanon and Syria.
To sum up the current situation in the simplest terms; the West insists on preserving the 500-year-old “West-centered” order. The East is declaring in various ways that it no longer accepts this order, that it will not submit to Western dictates, and that it stands for a multipolar world. In Mao’s words, these are “antagonistic contradictions”…
With each passing day, it is becoming clearer that no agreement is possible and that the use of force is unavoidable. It is especially true for the East. This reality is pushing the parties toward broader and more comprehensive alliances.
In this context, the visits and statements by Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov and other Russian officials in support of Iran are highly significant. (At the same time, there has been a sharp shift in the tone of Russian media coverage of the Iran-US war. The Russian press has begun to describe Iran’s war against the US almost as if it were Russia’s own war.)
Iranian Foreign Minister Araghchi’s expression of gratitude for Russia’s support during the war indicates that Moscow’s assistance to Iran goes far beyond public statements and diplomatic visits.
Developments on the ground now make it clear that the fronts in Eurasia and West Asia have effectively merged into a single front against the West.
The question before us is this:
In light of the current situation on the ground, will Russia and Iran be able to establish a united front against the West with a shared political will?
Here, political will would be the decisive factor.
The West is already conducting the wars against Russia and Iran collectively within NATO, despite internal disagreements and diverging opinions.
To put the matter differently, both confronted with war, will Russia and Iran choose to respond separately, or will they move toward an overt alliance?
A decision of alliance would represent not only a military rupture, but also a political and economic one.
Under the present conditions, in which the major war has become unavoidable, whether the Russian and Iranian political elites are capable of taking such a decision will be the subject of the next article.